XRP Trend Stays Bearish as Ripple Targets Institutional Liquidity

• XRP remains below key EMAs, confirming bearish control and fragile short-term structure.
• Falling open interest and persistent spot outflows signal leverage reduction, not panic.
• Ripple Treasury adds institutional utility, offsetting weak price action with fundamentals.

XRP continues to face short-term pressure as technical weakness aligns with cautious derivatives positioning and persistent spot outflows. On the 4-hour chart, the token trades near the $1.90–$1.91 zone, struggling to regain traction after a steep rejection earlier this cycle. While price action reflects ongoing selling pressure, broader developments around Ripple’s enterprise strategy add a contrasting fundamental layer to the narrative.

XRP Technical Structure Signals Ongoing Caution

XRP remains locked in a short-term downtrend on the 4-hour timeframe. Price stays below the 50, 100, and 200 exponential moving averages, which continue sloping lower. Consequently, the structure reflects sustained bearish control rather than temporary weakness.

The decline began after a sharp rejection near the $2.40–$2.47 area. That zone aligned with a key Fibonacci extension and triggered aggressive profit-taking. Since then, XRP has formed a sequence of lower highs and lower lows, reinforcing trend fragility.

Near-term support sits around $1.87–$1.88, where recent wicks found buyers. However, a break below that range could expose $1.80–$1.81, a prior consolidation base. Significantly, the $1.77 level stands as a critical downside marker tied to the broader Fibonacci structure.

On the upside, sellers continue defending the $1.93–$1.95 zone, where Fibonacci resistance overlaps with EMA congestion. Moreover, a stronger supply region remains between $2.17 and $2.28, limiting recovery attempts.

Derivatives and Spot Flows Reflect Risk Reduction

XRP derivatives data shows a clear cooling phase. Open interest expanded sharply during the late-2025 rally, peaking above $10 billion. However, it has since fallen toward the $3.4 billion region. Hence, traders appear to be unwinding leverage rather than building aggressive short exposure.

Spot flow data reinforces this cautious tone. Net outflows have dominated for extended periods, even during brief price rebounds. Additionally, inflow spikes during rallies failed to persist, suggesting distribution rather than accumulation. Overall, the flow structure reflects limited conviction from spot buyers.

Ripple Targets Institutions With New Treasury Platform

Beyond market dynamics, Ripple has introduced Ripple Treasury, a platform aimed at corporate cash managers. The system integrates enterprise software from GTreasury with Ripple’s blockchain infrastructure.

Ripple Treasury focuses on faster cross-border settlements, liquidity management, and asset reconciliation. Transactions using Ripple’s RLUSD stablecoin settle within seconds, compared with traditional multi-day cycles. Moreover, the platform consolidates fiat and digital assets into a single interface, reducing reliance on manual processes.

Technical Outlook for XRP Price

Key levels remain clearly defined for XRP as short-term weakness persists on lower timeframes. 

Upside levels sit at $1.93–$1.95 as the first hurdle, followed by $2.02–$2.05, which marks a key prior breakdown zone. A confirmed breakout above $2.05 could open the path toward $2.17–$2.28, a heavy supply region tied to higher Fibonacci retracements.

On the downside, $1.87–$1.88 acts as immediate support after multiple wick rejections. A loss of this level would likely expose $1.80–$1.81, the prior consolidation base. Below that, $1.77 stands as a major structural support and the critical Fib 0 level.

The technical picture suggests XRP remains trapped in a bearish continuation structure, with price trading below key moving averages. Momentum stays tilted to the downside, but compression near support hints at potential volatility expansion.

Will XRP Go Up?

XRP’s near-term direction hinges on whether buyers can defend the $1.87 area and reclaim $1.95 with volume. A sustained move above $2.05 would ease bearish pressure and shift momentum toward recovery. 

However, failure to hold $1.87 risks a deeper pullback toward $1.80 and $1.77. For now, XRP sits at a pivotal zone, where confirmation from flows and price structure will decide the next leg.

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