XRP Price Prediction: XRP Defends Critical $1.85–$1.90 Zone as $53M ETF Outflow Tests Sentiment

The crypto market is watching closely as XRP consolidates above the $1.85–$1.90 range, a level historically associated with strong buying interest. This stability comes amid mixed signals from institutional flows, highlighting a balance between market demand and short-term selling pressure.

XRP Holds Key Long-Term Support Zone

On the weekly timeframe, XRP has repeatedly closed above the $1.85–$1.90 range, with long lower wicks indicating active buying demand rather than passive holding. This zone has acted as a demand floor since mid-2025, following XRP’s pullback from highs near $3.00.

The weekly chart indicates that XRP is maintaining a key long-term support between $1.85 and $1.90. Source: 𝐊𝐚𝐦𝐫𝐚𝐧 𝐀𝐬𝐠𝐡𝐚𝐫 via X

Analysis of the weekly TradingView chart shows a descending triangle pattern guiding recent price action. Within this pattern, weekly candles often exhibit higher lows and moderate volume, reinforcing the idea of accumulation rather than aggressive selling.

Historical context further supports the significance of this range. During prior range-based consolidations on the weekly chart in 2022–2023, similar support holds led to multi-week rebounds of 30–40%, though outcomes depended on broader market liquidity and volume conditions. This indicates that the $1.85–$1.90 zone remains a technically meaningful area to watch.

As of January 22, 2026, XRP was trading between $1.88 and $1.98, with a 24-hour trading volume of $3.27 billion—a 15% increase from previous sessions. Rising volume during consolidation suggests continued market participation rather than waning demand.

ETF Outflows Reflect Profit-Taking, Not Panic

Fund flow data introduces an additional layer of insight. According to SoSoValue ETF flow data, U.S. XRP spot ETFs recorded a net outflow of $53.31 million on January 20, 2026—the largest single-day outflow since these products launched. Market commentators, including DustyBC Crypto, highlighted this movement as significant, but the data itself shows that the broader spot market remained stable, with XRP prices near $1.98.

On January 20, 2026, U.S. XRP ETFs saw a $53.31M outflow, with traders divided on short-term risks versus XRP’s resilience. Source: DustyBC Crypto via X

The outflow follows prior inflows exceeding $100 million, suggesting that institutional investors may be taking profits rather than signaling a fundamental shift in XRP’s outlook. Sustained outflows over multiple sessions could, however, weigh on short-term momentum.

Divergent Trader Sentiment

Short-term trading commentary reflects a range of perspectives. Some notes emphasize bearish pressure, noting the potential for price weakness below established entry zones. For example, a note indicated that bears are firmly in control, although this perspective contrasts with the observed stability above long-term support.

Bears are dominating, pushing prices toward the entry zone, which remains key for a potential swing reversal over time. Source: Setupsfx on TradingView

Conversely, other traders highlight resilience, pointing to rebounds after earlier declines toward $1.38. The co-existence of these perspectives underscores a market balancing technical support, increasing volume, and evolving institutional behavior.

Looking Ahead: Technical Outlook and Signal Prioritization

From a technical standpoint, the $1.85–$1.90 zone remains the primary reference point. As long as weekly closes hold above this level, price action appears to reflect consolidation rather than a breakdown. ETF outflows provide context on institutional behavior but should be interpreted as secondary to price and volume trends.

XRP was trading at around 1.949, up 2.54% in the last 24 hours at press time. Source: XRP price via Brave New Coin

For now, XRP remains range-bound but supported. Observational analysis of weekly candle structure, combined with volume trends, suggests a phase of market evaluation rather than immediate directional resolution. Traders and observers may prioritize the continuation of support and volume confirmation over isolated single-day ETF movements while monitoring outflows for potential trend influence.