XRP Price Outlook for February 2026: AI Model Predictions

• Most forecasts place XRP between $1.50 and $1.90 for February 2026.
• Historical February weakness and macro uncertainty limit near-term upside.
• Analysts expect clearer direction later in 2026 as liquidity conditions evolve.

XRP is expected to trade within a tight range in February, according to forecasts from ChatGPT, Claude, Perplexity, and Grok. The models cite weak momentum, seasonal patterns, and macroeconomic headwinds. Accordingly, most projections point to consolidation rather than a sustained price breakout this month.

Current Market Position

XRP entered February trading near $1.60 after a sharp reversal in late January. Earlier in the year, the token surged more than 30% to a multi-week high above $2.40 on January 6. The rally failed to hold, and sellers pushed the price lower during the final week of the month.

The decline drove XRP to $1.50, its lowest level in about 14 months. That price was last seen before the post-election rally in late 2024. Recent data shows XRP is down roughly 0.4% over 24 hours, 15% on the week, and 23% over the past month, reflecting broader weakness across the crypto market.

ChatGPT Outlook: Slower Growth, Higher Floor

ChatGPT’s February outlook frames XRP as a slower-moving asset in the current cycle. Its base-case scenario places the token between $2.10 and $2.60, though it assigns greater probability to gradual movement rather than sharp gains.

The analysis highlights regulatory clarity as a stabilizing factor. With legal uncertainty largely resolved, XRP is no longer viewed as a high-risk asset. However, the forecast notes that regulatory resolution now supports price stability rather than acting as a short-term catalyst.

Claude and Perplexity Emphasize Downside Risks

Claude’s forecast focuses on historical patterns and technical signals. February has often been a weak month for XRP, with past median declines near 8%. Technical indicators show XRP trading below key moving averages, while momentum remains muted.

Based on these factors, Claude estimates a likely February range of $1.40 to $1.90, with $1.50 identified as critical support. A sustained break below that level could expose the token to deeper losses.

Perplexity presents a similar view. It projects a potential mid-month dip toward $1.45 to $1.55, followed by a modest recovery. Its month-end estimate centers on $1.70 to $1.90, assuming broader market conditions stabilize.

Grok Signals a Decision Phase

Grok describes February as a consolidation period following January’s volatility. Its forecast places downside risk between $1.25 and $1.45 if support levels fail. On the upside, it sees resistance near $2.00, with limited volume support above that range.

Grok notes that XRP often lags early market rallies and tends to perform later in broader cycles, once liquidity shifts toward altcoins.

Broader Factors and Outlook

Several forecasts point to whale accumulation and declining exchange balances as stabilizing forces. These trends suggest reduced immediate selling pressure but do not guarantee short-term gains.

Macro conditions remain a central risk. Trade policy uncertainty, inflation concerns, and tighter financial conditions continue to weigh on risk assets. Until those pressures ease, analysts expect XRP to remain sensitive to broader market movements.

Looking ahead, most models agree that February is unlikely to define XRP’s direction for the year. Clearer momentum is expected later in 2026, when liquidity conditions and policy signals become more predictable.

Related: Here’s XRP Price for 2026 According to ChatGPT, Claude, Perplexity, and Grok