Bitcoin Investors Should Watch These US Economic Signals

Bitcoin traders are heading into a macro-heavy week, with four US economic events expected to shape sentiment across crypto markets.

With Bitcoin trading in a volatile range and macro narratives dominating market psychology, traders are increasingly treating economic releases as short-term catalysts that can trigger sharp moves in both directions.

Which US Economic Signals Should Bitcoin and Crypto Investors Watch This Week?

A Federal Reserve (Fed) governor’s media appearance, key labor-market data, weekly unemployment claims, and January inflation figures could all influence expectations around interest rates and liquidity—two of the strongest drivers of Bitcoin’s price cycles.

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Fed Governor Stephen Miran Interview in Focus

Markets will first look to comments from Federal Reserve Governor Stephen Miran, who is scheduled to appear in a podcast interview on Monday, February 9. Ahead of the 5:00 p.m. ET. appearance, there is already mixed sentiment across the crypto community, especially amid broader market caution.  

Some market participants point to Miran’s relatively constructive view on stablecoins, arguing that regulatory clarity and dollar-linked digital assets could indirectly support Bitcoin by strengthening the broader crypto ecosystem and institutional participation.

Others see risk. Speculation that Miran could play a larger role in future Fed leadership has already coincided with bouts of volatility in both precious metals and crypto. This reflects fears that tighter policy could weigh on inflation-hedge narratives.

At the same time, some macro analysts have described Miran as more dovish than many of his peers, citing past arguments in favor of substantial rate cuts to support the labor market.

Any signals in that direction could lift sentiment in risk assets, particularly Bitcoin, which remains highly sensitive to liquidity expectations.

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US Employment Report Could Drive “Bad News Is Good News” Narrative

Attention will shift on Wednesday, February 11, to the US employment report, one of the most closely watched indicators of economic health and monetary-policy direction.

Forecasts suggest relatively modest job growth, potentially reaching 55,000 from the previous 50,000. Weaker-than-expected data could paradoxically support Bitcoin. Cooling labor conditions would increase pressure on the Fed to ease policy, potentially improving liquidity conditions for risk assets.

Recent labor-market indicators have already pointed to signs of slowing. Reports of rising layoffs and a slowdown in hiring have strengthened expectations that rate cuts could arrive sooner than previously anticipated.

However, the employment report also carries downside risk. A sharp deterioration in job data could spark broader growth fears, prompting investors to move toward defensive positions. Such an outcome could trigger short-term selloffs in crypto, as seen during previous macro shocks.

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Jobless Claims May Reinforce or Challenge the Trend

Thursday’s initial jobless claims release will provide a more immediate snapshot of labor-market conditions. As such, it could reinforce the narrative set by the employment and unemployment reports on Wednesday.

Recent spikes in claims have coincided with risk-off reactions in crypto markets, including liquidation events and rapid price swings. Some traders interpret rising claims as a signal that economic conditions are weakening enough to force monetary easing, a longer-term positive for Bitcoin.

Others warn that in the short term, deteriorating employment data can unsettle markets, especially when liquidity is thin and leverage is elevated.

That dynamic has made jobless-claims releases a growing source of volatility, even though they rarely move markets in isolation.

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CPI and Core CPI Seen as the Week’s Decisive Catalyst

The most consequential data point may arrive on Friday, February 13, with the release of January’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) and Core CPI figures.

Inflation data remains the primary driver of Fed policy expectations and, therefore, a key determinant of crypto market sentiment.

Cooler-than-expected readings in recent months have supported risk assets by weakening the “higher for longer” rate narrative.

Another soft inflation print could accelerate expectations for rate cuts in 2026, potentially reinforcing bullish momentum in Bitcoin and strengthening the case for a move toward six-figure price levels over time.

However, sticky or rising inflation would likely have the opposite effect, pushing Treasury yields higher and pressuring speculative assets, including cryptocurrencies.

Taken together, the week’s events represent a concentrated test of the macro narratives currently driving Bitcoin: inflation, employment, and the timing of monetary easing.

While long-term adoption trends, such as ETF flows, institutional participation, and stablecoin growth, continue to underpin bullish projections, short-term price action remains closely tied to economic data.