With sentiment at a low and most traders calling for further downside, analyst Steph Is Crypto (@Steph_iscrypto) is looking at the monthly chart and seeing something the majority are missing.
In a recent tweet, the analyst laid out a recurring technical setup on XRP’s monthly time frame using EMA ribbons. In every significant bear market since 2020, XRP has pulled back to the lower boundary of these monthly EMA ribbons. Each time, a major rally followed.
In March 2020, the asset touched that lower boundary and reversed. The move that followed reached 360%. In December 2020, another retest produced a 10x run. The same setup appeared in 2022, 2023, and again in 2024, preceding a 500% rally. Each instance marked a bear market low.
At the time of his analysis, XRP was down over 4% on the day and trading at approximately $1.06. The lower boundary of the monthly EMA ribbon sat at roughly $0.90 to $0.93.
Steph Is Crypto acknowledged that further downside is possible. “Can we go down another 10%, another 20%? Sure,” he said. But his view is that the current range is where XRP’s bottom either already exists or is very close.
XRP has been declining since July 2025 and has experienced nearly a year of sustained selling pressure. From his perspective, getting more bearish at this stage runs counter to the data. On the weekly time frame, he identified a trend line sitting at approximately $1.15. Reclaiming that level would confirm that the bear market low is likely in.
Beyond the EMA ribbon setup, the analyst presented two supporting data points. The first is XRP valued in gold. Historically, when XRP trades at a low valuation relative to gold, it has preceded major bull runs. Currently, XRP sits on that same trend line again, which he considers a signal of undervaluation.
The second chart is the total cryptocurrency market cap excluding Bitcoin. A key support level around $845 billion has acted as both resistance and support at multiple points since 2024. Each time the price held that range, altcoins staged major rallies. That level is being tested again right now.
Steph Is Crypto is not calling a guaranteed reversal, as his analysis accounts for additional downside. However, he believes the confluence of the monthly EMA ribbon test, XRP’s valuation in gold, and the altcoin market cap support level makes this a significant moment.
Disclaimer: This content is meant to inform and should not be considered financial advice. The views expressed in this article may include the author’s personal opinions and do not represent Times Tabloid’s opinion. Readers are advised to conduct thorough research before making any investment decisions. Any action taken by the reader is strictly at their own risk. Times Tabloid is not responsible for any financial losses.
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