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NFTs are unique digital identifiers recorded on a blockchain that certify ownership and authenticity of a specific asset. Moving past the "PFP" craze, 2026 NFTs emphasize utility, representing everything from IP rights and digital fashion to RWA titles and event ticketing. This tag explores the technical standards of digital ownership, the growth of NFT marketplaces, and the integration of non-fungible tech into the broader Creator Economy and enterprise solutions.

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Created: 2026/02/02 18:52
Updated: 2026/02/02 18:52
Jamie Dimon warns of higher US stock risk

Jamie Dimon warns of higher US stock risk

The post Jamie Dimon warns of higher US stock risk appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Stock market crash fears have reshaped investor sentiment after a series of high‑profile commentaries and media posts. The unfolding reaction has focused attention on the broader market dynamics, including crypto and traditional assets alike. Market reaction: Jamie Dimon concern, JPMorgan stock risk, Bitcoin, Ethereum and crypto volatility Financial markets moved sharply in the hours following a televised interview and rapid social updates. In particular, the BBC interview was noted by market participants and cited widely in media coverage. At the same time, a BBC Radio 4 Today tweet on October 9, 2025 drew fresh attention to market headlines and investor sentiment. “I am far more worried about that than others.” Jamie Dimon, chief exec of JP Morgan Chase, tells @bbcsimonjack there is a higher risk of a serious fall in US stocks than is currently being reflected in the market.#R4Today — BBC Radio 4 Today (@BBCr4today) October 9, 2025 According to Jamie Dimon, “There is a higher risk of a serious fall in US stocks than is currently being reflected in the market”, a comment that helped shift risk pricing across asset classes. Observers pointed to rapid information flow — both long‑form interviews and short social posts — as catalysts that can amplify volatility across asset classes. In this context, digital assets such as Bitcoin and Ethereum registered heightened price swings alongside equities. That said, the movements were part of a broader risk‑off mood rather than a stand‑alone phenomenon for crypto. Moreover, the interplay between traditional markets and crypto markets often reflects liquidity dynamics on major exchange venues. As participants recalibrate positions, order books can tighten and spreads widen, which in turn magnifies intraday swings. From my experience in exchange operations, sudden headlines force automated risk systems to widen spreads and trigger margin calls within minutes. I have seen coordination…

Author: BitcoinEthereumNews

2025/10/10

ChainAware.ai and Trikon Partner to Revolutionize Web3 by Merging AI and Chain Abstraction Layer

ChainAware.ai and Trikon Partner to Revolutionize Web3 by Merging AI and Chain Abstraction Layer

ChainAware.ai, a leading platform in artificial intelligence (AI) predictive analytics and fraud detection, is pleased to announce its partnership with Trikon, a famous Web3 platform for chain abstraction and gaming. This partnership aims to merge artificial intelligence (AI-driven) wallet intelligence with Trikon’s chain abstraction to make Web3 simpler, smarter, and more secure for users. https://t.co/tODxqMTUfI x Trikon 🤝We’re thrilled to partner with @0xTrikon , the chain abstraction powerhouse redefining how users interact with Web3.Trikon’s Chain Abstraction Layer simplifies everything from wallet creation to transaction execution — fusing AI, intent… pic.twitter.com/rdl2B065Vw— ChainAware.ai (@ChainAware) October 9, 2025 Basically, this partnership is based on a single point that is to expand and revolutionize the use of Web3 across the whole world for users’ betterment. Both platforms are based on Web3 technology and are actively addressing the current situation in the crypto world. ChainAware.ai has released this news through its official social media X account. Trikon Simplifies Crypto Transactions with AI-Powered Web3 Solutions Trikon is already dealing with the important topic of crypto transactions to make it as simple as possible to support users from wallet creation to transaction execution. In this digital world, there is a need for secure, easily accessible, and fast transaction services, irrespective of the selected area or domain. For this purpose, there is a requirement for such a system that is built on Web3 technology to make it compatible. For users’ future security, Trikon is fusing AI, intent abstraction, and liquidity unification for delivering seamless and buffering-free services in Web3 for a billion users. This partnership is going to open a new and fruitful way for users to equip them with the latest technology to survive in this competitive world. ChainAware.ai Supports Trikon in Safer dApps and Agents ChainAware.ai will help Trikon in building protected and secured decentralized applications (dApps), RaOne agents, and an abstraction framework. With each passing day, innovation and technology come in more advanced and smarter ways to facilitate users with different methods. At the same time, insecurity, fraud, and scams are also increasing, so at this time, users need a secure and modified system based on advanced Web3 and AI-based technology to deal with this scenario. Therefore, both platforms also paid attention to these aspects and took action accordingly. 

Author: Coinstats

2025/10/10

$2.2B Market Cap ICP and DeFi Giant Aave Lead Market Stability – Blazpay Presale Emerges as a Top New ICO Crypto With 1000% Potential

$2.2B Market Cap ICP and DeFi Giant Aave Lead Market Stability – Blazpay Presale Emerges as a Top New ICO Crypto With 1000% Potential

The post $2.2B Market Cap ICP and DeFi Giant Aave Lead Market Stability – Blazpay Presale Emerges as a Top New ICO Crypto With 1000% Potential appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Alt text – Blazpay – new ICO crypto The cryptocurrency market in October 2025 is balancing between mature stability and early-stage innovation. On one end, Internet Computers (ICP) and Aave (AAVE) are maintaining consistent momentum, supported by strong fundamentals and institutional attention. Amid these movements, Blazpay is emerging as a top new ICO crypto project with the potential to deliver 1000% returns, driven by early Phase 1 presale momentum and its innovative AI-driven platform. While established networks like ICP and Aave highlight the market’s maturing infrastructure, Blazpay’s Phase 1 presale introduces a rare chance for investors to enter a project still in its formative stages where upside potential remains high and community traction is accelerating. Internet Computer (ICP) Holds Strong at $4.44 Amid 25% Monthly Surge As of October 8, 2025, Internet Computer (ICP) trades around $4.43 to $4.45, with a market capitalization between $2.08 billion and $2.39 billion. The project’s 24-hour trading volume sits between $92.97 million and $96.17 million, showing sustained liquidity and interest among traders. ICP’s price range of $4.37 to $4.47 reflects short-term stability, while its 25% monthly gain underscores strong recovery momentum among leading Layer-1 projects. Analysts suggest ICP could approach $4.90 by November 2025, maintaining a cautiously optimistic outlook as AI-Web3 integration becomes a defining theme across blockchain ecosystems. With a yearly high near $15.56 and a low of $4.02, the current zone may represent an accumulation range for long-term holders seeking exposure to the next wave of AI-driven Layer-1 growth. ICP’s outperformance up 25% month-over-month has placed it ahead of many Layer-1 peers, signaling that investor attention is gradually rotating toward innovation-linked blockchains capable of merging artificial intelligence with decentralized architecture. Alt text – Blazpay – new ICO crypto Blazpay Phase 1 Presale Hits 6% Completion – Early Bird Pricing $0.006 Blazpay’s Phase…

Author: BitcoinEthereumNews

2025/10/10

Crypto nieuws vandaag: XRP-dip, BVNK-deal en BTC-slump

Crypto nieuws vandaag: XRP-dip, BVNK-deal en BTC-slump

De wereldwijde cryptocurrency-marktkapitalisatie bedraagt vandaag $ 4,23 biljoen, met een verandering van -0,8% in de afgelopen 24 uur. Het totale transactievolume in cryptocurrency over de afgelopen dag is $ 206 miljard. Bitcoin-dominantie is 57,2% en Ethereum-dominantie 12,3%. De grootste stijgers zijn nu Polkadot Ecosysteem- en XRP Ledger Ecosystem-cryptocurrency’s. { "width": "100%", "height": "400", "symbol": "COINBASE:BTCUSD", "interval": "60", "timezone": "Europe/Amsterdam", "theme": "light", "style": "1", "locale": "en", "hide_top_toolbar": true, "allow_symbol_change": true, "save_image": false, "calendar": false, "support_host": "https://www.tradingview.com" } Hoogtepunten omvatten een marktkap van $ 4.226.152.404.086, -0,8% verandering en $ 205.255.499.597 aan 24 uur handelsvolume. Trending assets zijn Zcash op $ 237,77 met 32,7% stijging, Railgun op $ 5,01 met 107,5% en Aster op $ 1,54 met 15,3%. Grootste stijgers zijn Pomato op $ 0,03979 met 255,2%, Railgun met 107,5% en Decentralized Social op $ 8,42 met 57,9%. In dit crypto nieuws vandaag duiken we in verhalen die de cryptomarkt opschudden. Van XRP’s dip naar $ 2,43 met ETF-vertragingen tot de mogelijke miljardendeal tussen Coinbase, Mastercard en stablecoin-firma BVNK. We bespreken ook Bitcoin’s slump met analisten die $ 180.000 als doel zien. XRP duikt naar $ 2,43 door ETF-vertraging XRP test cruciale support op $ 2,43, met een dip van 2,43% en bearish signalen die botsen met zwakke hoop. De prijs trekt aandacht na ETF-speculatie, maar SEC-vertragingen drukken. REX Shares en Osprey Funds plannen eerste Amerikaanse spot ETF’s voor XRP en Dogecoin op 18 september op Cboe BZX, tickers XRPR en DOJE. Ze houden tokens direct, maar investeren ook in buitenlandse ETF’s. Bloomberg-analist James Seyffart: “Geen pure spot, maar primeur voor XRP- en DOGE-ETF’s in brokerage accounts.” CME Group voegt opties toe op XRP en Solana futures vanaf 13 oktober, met dagelijkse, maandelijkse en kwartaal expiry. SOL futures 540.000 contracten ($ 22,3 miljard notioneel) sinds maart, XRP 370.000 ($ 16,2 miljard) sinds mei. Cumberland en FalconX prijzen hedging tools. SEC keurt generieke listing standards goed, proces naar 75 dagen. Teddy Fusaro van Bitwise: “Waterscheidend moment sinds 2013 Bitcoin-filing.” Paul Atkins, SEC-voorzitter: “Stimuleert innovatie en verlaagt barrières.” Steve McClurg van Canary Capital: “Deuren open, maar marketing en filings blijven werk.” Canary CEO Steve McClurg updateert XRP ETF-instroom: van $ 5 miljard naar $ 10 miljard eerste maand. “$ 10 miljard mogelijk.” Bitcoin futures $ 1 miljard dag één, top 10 ETF’s. McClurg: “$ 10 miljard top 20 of 10 ETF’s.” Dom: $ 61 miljoen instroom XRP-kap 272x optilde. Conservatief 54,4x. Huidige XRP-kap $ 180 miljard, 60 miljard tokens, $ 3 prijs. $ 10 miljard instroom +$ 544 miljard kap, totaal $ 724 miljard, $ 12 token. McClurg: “$ 10 miljard safe bet.” Firms als Grayscale, Canary, 21Shares en Bitwise wachten oktober-goedkeuring. Top stijgers/dalers CoinLive PrijsΔ 24uBEAM(BEAM)$0.05101737.56%Synthetix(SNX)$1.34934025.56%The Doge NFT(DOG)$0.00711516.14%Bittensor(TAO2)$360.36700010.84%Litecoin(LTC)$129.27500010.62% CoinLive PrijsΔ 24uPepe Unchained(PEPU)$0.000078-87.42%Mantle(MNT)$2.211070-15.57%SingularityNET(AGIX)$0.212577-10.87%Fetch.ai(FET)$0.482892-9.69%PancakeSwap(CAKE)$3.676450-6.60%   Coinbase en Mastercard jagen op BVNK-deal Coinbase en Mastercard onderhandelen over een deal van $ 1,5 tot $ 2,5 miljard voor BVNK, een Britse fintech voor stablecoin-infrastructuur in payments en transfers. Dit overtreft Stripe’s $ 1,1 miljard Bridge-acquisitie in februari. BVNK, opgericht vier jaar geleden, haalde $ 50 miljoen Series B in december op $ 750 miljoen waardering. Visa investeerde onbekend in mei. Coinbase heeft voorsprong. Woordvoerder: “We commenteren niet op geruchten.” Mastercard en BVNK reageerden niet. Ryan Yoon, senior analyst Tiger Research: “Voor Coinbase verticale integratie: issuance (USDC via Circle) en distributie. Meer waarde in chain. Mastercard defensief tegen disintermediatie als stablecoins card networks omzeilen. White-label crypto zonder custody.” Yoon: “Beide erkennen programmeerbare dollars op public rails kunnen interchange-economics eroderen. Strategische inactie risicovoller dan timing.” Chris Miglino, co-founder DNA Fund: “Stablecoins worden commonplace, net als DAT’s op Wall Street. Vervangen money transfer.” Deal benadrukt corporate interesse in stablecoins als payment-infra. Coinbase’s ambitie voor super app, Mastercard’s positionering. Bitcoin slumps, analisten mikken $ 180.000 Bitcoin duikt onder $ 120.000 naar $ 119.768, na volatiel oktober-start. Eerder week record boven $ 126.000, stabiliseert $ 120.000-$ 123.000. Jaar-tot-datum +30%, gedreven door ETF-instroom, vertrouwen en Fed-verlagingen. Analisten zien ‘eufrofe fase’ van bull cycle, historisch leidend tot acceleratie en correcties. Bitcoin Cycle Master-model: late-stage rally, conservatief piek $ 180.000, overgewaardeerde zone $ 260.000. Short-term holder MVRV-ratio meet recente investeerderswinsten. Top bij 1,7, wat $ 180.000-$ 195.000 suggereert, ruimte voor stijging voor euforie omslaat. Fed-notulen september 2025: meeste officials zien ruimte voor knippen ondanks inflatiezorgen. Lopende shutdown en sterkere dollar temperen debasement trade. Met prijzen rond $ 120.000 en dalende volatiliteit, houden traders opwaartse beweging en overexuberantie in de gaten. Crypto vooruitblik Deze verhalen verbinden via prijs, deals en visie. XRP-dip, BVNK-deal en Bitcoin-slump wijzen op een volatiele cryptomarkt. Goedemorgen Bitcoin: Roger Ver schikt, Luxemburg koopt BTC Voor Nederlandse investeerders: test XRP-support, volg stablecoin-consolidatie en mik op Bitcoin-piek. Maar houd zoals gewoonlijk de fear and greed indicator goed in de gaten, want die geeft een goede indicatie van waar de markt naartoe gaat. (function(){var iframeId="fgg-embed-aa53a322-b103-4751-aae6-f0bb2e113eec";function resize(evt){if(!evt.data||!evt.data.fggEmbed) return;var p=evt.data.fggEmbed;if(p.id!==iframeId) return;var iframe=document.getElementById(iframeId);if(iframe){iframe.style.height=Math.max(120,Math.ceil(Number(p.height)||0))+"px";}}window.addEventListener("message",resize,false);})(); Het bericht Crypto nieuws vandaag: XRP-dip, BVNK-deal en BTC-slump is geschreven door Immanuel Rodulfo en verscheen als eerst op Bitcoinmagazine.nl.

Author: Coinstats

2025/10/10

Zagreb Hosts Game Changer 2025: Region’s Biggest Tech Event

Zagreb Hosts Game Changer 2025: Region’s Biggest Tech Event

The post Zagreb Hosts Game Changer 2025: Region’s Biggest Tech Event appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. In just one week, on October 16, the Z Center in Zagreb will become the main gathering place of the regional tech community — hosting the fourth edition of Game Changer 4.0 Superconference, Croatia’s largest tech event. More than 100 speakers, five thematic halls, the Game Changer Awards ceremony, and a rich expo and networking zone will welcome over 1,700 participants from Croatia and across the region. Five Halls, Five Thematic Worlds of the Future This year’s Game Changer brings five parallel program tracks: AI & INNOVATION / DIGITAL TRANSFORMATION – focusing on artificial intelligence, humanoid robots, digital transformation, and disruptive technologies. GAMIFY / GAMIFICATION – exploring how gamification impacts healthcare, marketing, customer support, and social change. eCOMMERCE / DIGITAL COMMERCE – offering insights into the latest trends in online retail, video-driven conversions, and digital payment security. WEB3 STAGE by Alice in Blockchains – discussions on the future of blockchain, NFTs, regulation, and decentralization. STARTUP Hall – startup presentations, investment trends for 2025, and the “Rising Stars” competition. The entire program will be accompanied by Esports content in the Hall of Game, where visitors can try out the new award-winning game Scum2 by Croatian developer Gamepires. Attendees will also get the chance to see the humanoid robot Captchu in action, along with many other interactive experiences in the Z Center’s Expo Zone.For those interested in digital art, from October 15 to 19, the Z Center will also host an exhibition by American artist Gretchen Andrew, in cooperation with Shpigl art collective. Awards Ceremony and Evening Networking One of this year’s highlights is the first-ever public Game Changer Awards ceremony, held as part of the conference. Awards will be presented in more than 16 categories — spanning AI, fintech, sustainability, and gaming — with the goal of recognizing individuals, teams, and…

Author: BitcoinEthereumNews

2025/10/10

Deutsche Bank Predicts Bitcoin Could Join Central Bank Reserves by 2030

Deutsche Bank Predicts Bitcoin Could Join Central Bank Reserves by 2030

The post Deutsche Bank Predicts Bitcoin Could Join Central Bank Reserves by 2030 appeared first on Coinpedia Fintech News According to Deutsche Bank reports, Bitcoin could soon rival gold as one of the primary assets held by central banks by 2030. The global financial institution believes the growing institutional adoption of digital assets and a gradual global move away from U.S. dollar dependency may encourage central banks to diversify their reserves with cryptocurrencies like …

Author: CoinPedia

2025/10/10

Best Crypto To Buy Now 2025, Pepeto Presale vs BlockDAG, Layer Brett, Remittix, Little Pepe

Best Crypto To Buy Now 2025, Pepeto Presale vs BlockDAG, Layer Brett, Remittix, Little Pepe

The post Best Crypto To Buy Now 2025, Pepeto Presale vs BlockDAG, Layer Brett, Remittix, Little Pepe appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Crypto News Hunting the best crypto to buy now in 2025. Presales can flip a portfolio fast and change a life, if you choose right. They can also feel risky, so this breakdown starts with proof instead of promises. Today we stack Pepeto (PEPETO), BlockDAG, Layer Brett, Remittix, and Little Pepe against what matters most, the team’s vision and follow through, what is live today, third party audits, clean tokenomics, and real utility. You will see where DEX and bridge delivery already exists, which Layer 2 claims are credible, who shows PayFi rails, staking, and listing prep, so your pick for the best crypto to buy now rests on facts, not hype. Pepeto, The Meme Coin On Ethereum, Built To Rewire The Memecoin Market Unlike older memes that launched on pure buzz, Pepeto is run like a mission product. The builders treat it as legacy work, shipping fast, polishing details, showing up for the community, and pushing updates weekly.Where past cycles wrote the prologue, Pepeto aims for the whole book, a hard capped setup centered on PepetoSwap, a zero fee exchange where every trade travels through the Pepeto token, guaranteeing real throughput rather than fake volume. Already 850+ projects have applied to list, a strong forward signal for activity. A native cross chain bridge adds smart routing that unifies liquidity, trims extra hops, reduces slippage, and turns usage into steady token demand, because every swap touches PEPETO, making it hard for price not to climb over coming years.Add to that independent checks by Solidproof and Coinsult, which explains investor trust, visible as more than $6.9 million already raised in presale. The presale puts earliest buyers at the front, with staking and stage based price steps, and traction shows that line getting longer. That is the edge, utility with purpose, culture…

Author: BitcoinEthereumNews

2025/10/10

Stock market crash: Jamie Dimon warns of higher US stock risk

Stock market crash: Jamie Dimon warns of higher US stock risk

Stock market crash fears have reshaped investor sentiment after a series of high‑profile commentaries and media posts.

Author: The Cryptonomist

2025/10/10

In the remaining three months, what other major projects are about to issue tokens?

In the remaining three months, what other major projects are about to issue tokens?

Author: Cookie During the past National Day holiday, the meme coin market on the BSC chain was in full swing. With the cryptocurrency market so active even during the long holiday, everyone must be eager to see what's next. So, what upcoming coin offerings can we look forward to, allowing us to secure more funds and participate in the subsequent market? BlockBeats organizes the projects that are about to launch tokens for you. Meteora On September 30, the official Solana ecosystem liquidity protocol Meteora posted on social media that the project will launch TGE on October 23, and the token name will be MET. On October 8th, Meteora announced the MET token economics, with 48% of the total supply slated for circulation at the TGE. According to Meteora's plan, 20% of tokens will be distributed to Mercurial stakers, 15% to Meteora users (via the LP incentive program), 3% to the Launchpads and Launchpool ecosystem, 2% to off-chain contributors, 3% to the Jupiter staking incentive program, 3% to centralized exchanges, market makers, and 2% to M3M3 stakers. Of the remaining tokens, 18% will be allocated to the team, with a six-year linear vesting period, and 34% will be allocated to the Meteora Reserve, also with a six-year linear vesting period. Monad On October 9, Monad tweeted that the airdrop claim portal will open on October 14 (Tuesday). Currently, the Monad token $MON is trading at approximately $0.13 on Hyperliquid's pre-market futures. On September 11th, Monad co-founder Keone Hon stated on the X social platform that the initial total supply of the Monad chain's native Gas token will be 100 billion. On April 9, 2024, Fortune magazine reported that Layer 1 blockchain Monad Labs completed US$225 million in financing. This round of financing was led by Paradigm, with participation from IOSG Ventures, SevenX Ventures, Electric Capital and Greenoaks. Abstract In May of this year, Pudgy Penguins CEO Luca Netz hinted during a livestream that the Layer 2 network Abstract Chain might hold its TGE before the end of the year. “Before the end of the year means September, October, November, and December, so users still have at least three months.” Abstract, formerly known as Flame, was acquired by Igloo, the parent company of Pudgy Penguins, and the huge success of Pudgy Penguins' token $PENGU. NFT players and the entire market have been looking forward to Abstract, a new chain. Pharos In a community AMA in early October, Pharos officials revealed that they plan to conduct TGE in the first quarter of next year. Pharos is a RWA layer 1 public blockchain with Ant Group background. CEO Alex Zhang was previously CEO of @zan_team, Ant Group's Web3 technology company, and also served as CTO of AntChain. CTO Wish Wu was previously CSO (Chief Security Officer) of @zan_team, Ant Group's Web3 technology company. On November 9, 2024, Pharos announced the completion of an $8 million seed round of financing, with participation from Faction, Hack VC, SNZ Holding, Reforge, Dispersion Capital, Hash Global, Generative Ventures, Legend Star, MH Ventures, Zion, and Chorus One Ventures. On September 1st of this year, Yunfeng Financial announced a strategic partnership agreement with Ant Financial and a strategic investment in Pharos. The two parties will collaborate on compliant development of cutting-edge areas such as the tokenization of real-world assets (RWAs) and Web3 through Pharos' high-performance public blockchain platform. OpenSea As the former king of the NFT market, OpenSea is finally going to issue coins. On September 9, OpenSea CMO Adam Hollander revealed in an article published on Twitter that the OpenSea Foundation will release the specific details of TGE in early October. MetaMask Like OpenSea, MetaMask was once the king of the wallet market and is finally launching its own token. On October 9th, MetaMask announced the launch of perpetual contract trading functionality, along with the MetaMask Rewards Program, which will launch at the end of October. MetaMask is introducing a points system and tiered rewards to reward on-chain trading activity. Users will earn points for every token swap and perpetual contract trade, as well as for referring others. In the future, users will also earn points for spending with the MetaMask card and holding mUSD, expanding rewards across the entire ecosystem. The rewards program, which runs quarterly over three months, offers rewards worth over $30 million in LINEA tokens, perpetual contract fee discounts, and point bonuses. Season 1 offers bonuses for redemptions on the Linea Network, as well as redemptions and bridge operations via MetaMask Mobile. Points accumulate into future seasons, which will offer more exclusive benefits, including the upcoming MetaMask token. Rainbow On September 23, according to official news, the Web3 mobile wallet Rainbow announced that it will issue the token RNBW in Q4. The specific airdrop and distribution details will be announced later by the official Twitter account. Football.Fun On October 9, according to the official news of Base chain sports prediction application Football.Fun, its parent company Sport.Fun will launch the token $FUN in Q4 and is expected to conduct an airdrop in Q4. The token will enjoy a share of the company's prediction market revenue. In addition, the platform also plans to expand its products to the basketball and football markets. Limitless On July 1, Cointelegraph reported that the Base chain prediction market Limitless completed a $4 million strategic round of financing, with participation from Coinbase Ventures, 1confirmation, Maelstrom, Collider, Node Capital, Paper Ventures, Public Works, Punk DAO and WAGMI Ventures. Limitless previously completed a $3 million seed round of financing, bringing its total financing to $7 million. The new funds will be used to prepare for the upcoming TGE. The latest points activity for this project will end in January next year, and there is a probability that TGE will be held in the first quarter of next year. Lighter On October 2nd, Perp DEX Lighter officially launched its Ethereum L2-based mainnet, fully opening up after eight months of private beta testing. The first quarter of the points program has concluded, with the second quarter running until the end of 2025. Currently, the probability on Polymarket that Lighter will issue tokens before 11:59 PM EST on December 31, 2025 is 84%. Grvt On October 8th, the decentralized perpetual swap trading platform Grvt announced on social media that the first quarter airdrop query has been launched, allowing users to view the airdrop distribution ratio. Early users and active contributors from the first quarter are particularly rewarded. The second season airdrop activity is still ongoing and the TGE is expected to be launched in the first quarter of 2026. On September 19, Grvt announced the completion of a US$19 million Series A financing round, led by ZKsync and Further Ventures, with participation from EigenCloud and 500 Global.

Author: PANews

2025/10/10

Crypto Prediction Market Outlook: If Stablecoins Solve “Payment”, Can Prediction Markets Solve “Truth”?

Crypto Prediction Market Outlook: If Stablecoins Solve “Payment”, Can Prediction Markets Solve “Truth”?

Introduction: Stablecoins have proven crypto's "payment value," while prediction markets are attempting to prove its "information value." Within the cryptocurrency market, platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi have seen soaring trading volumes, making them one of the sectors closest to real-world applications. However, outside the market, prediction markets are still viewed as gambling, struggling to gain mainstream acceptance. This article will analyze the current state of prediction markets, their path to breakthroughs, and future trends, exploring whether they can become the next cornerstone connecting crypto and reality, following stablecoins. Author: Shigeru CGV Research Over the past two years, prediction markets have become the most controversial, yet most promising, "real-world application" in the crypto industry. Within the industry, it has already spread beyond leading platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi, with trading volume climbing rapidly. However, outside of the industry, it is still viewed as gambling, making it difficult for mainstream investors to incorporate it into their asset allocation. However, the question arises: Can prediction markets, like stablecoins, truly break through the boundaries of their niche and become the next cornerstone connecting the crypto industry with the real world? Can they become the next internet-level fintech product? Crypto Prediction Market Ecosystem (Messari) Analysis of the current situation: prosperity within the circle and the cognitive gap outside the circle Why is it that the same market is so hot within the crypto community, yet so rarely seen outside? The prediction market is a prime example of this phenomenon. On the one hand, the popularity in the circle continues to rise. Platforms represented by Polymarket, Kalshi, and Manifold have established relatively stable traffic and narratives in the crypto community. Crypto Prediction Market Share Statistics (Dune, 20251006) With its simple interface and USD stablecoin settlement, Polymarket has become a key venue for discussing events such as the US election, macroeconomic data, and crypto airdrops. By 2025, Polymarket's cumulative trading volume had exceeded $7.5 billion, with August's volume exceeding $618 million, primarily driven by political events and macroeconomic forecasts. During the 2024 US election, Polymarket gave Trump a 99% chance of victory at 1:30 AM Eastern Time, while Fox News didn't announce the results until 1:47 AM, and other media outlets delayed even longer. Continuous arbitrage and the rising marginal cost of shifting prices away from fair value make prediction market errors short-lived and easily correctable. Manifold, with its light entertainment model of "social + prediction," has attracted over 200,000 users, becoming a "new voting pool" for community users to obtain information and express their opinions. However, in 2025, Manifold's daily active users fell to a historic low of 886, highlighting the challenges of user retention. In addition, Kalshi has emerged as a compliant platform, with a trading volume of US$1.3 billion in September 2025, accounting for 62.2% of global prediction market activities and dominating the market in sports event predictions. On the other hand, awareness outside the circle is still insufficient. The general public often equates prediction markets with gambling, lacking an appreciation for their value in information aggregation and probabilistic pricing. Even when mainstream US media began occasionally citing Polymarket data, prediction markets remained largely unknown. For example, a 2025 report in The Economist noted that low liquidity hindered participation by large investors, limiting market credibility. The lack of regulatory compliance and authoritative endorsements hindered mainstream adoption. Despite Kalshi recording $208 million in trading volume during the March Madness event in March 2025, the public still viewed it as gambling rather than an informational tool. Cross-circle expansion strategy: multi-dimensional integration and innovation path If the prediction market truly wants to break out, it needs more than just technological upgrades; it needs to find new narratives and entry points. Politics, macroeconomics, entertainment and sports, and even the native Web3 ecosystem are all potential breakout points. 1. Anchored in real-world events: Traffic portals for politics, economics, and entertainment The prediction market naturally has a strong correlation with real events, and sectors such as politics, economy, entertainment and sports are the best entry points for it to break through the circle. Political events such as the US presidential election, the UK's Brexit referendum, and the probability of a bill passing are all difficult for traditional polls to accurately predict. Prediction markets, due to their price-based mechanism, often provide more real-time indicators that are closer to true probabilities. For example, the 2025 Federal Reserve interest rate decision market on Polymarket saw trading volume exceeding $50 million. Users hedged their risk by betting on the probability of a 25 basis point rate hike. Macroeconomics: Sensitive financial market events such as CPI releases, non-farm payroll data, and Federal Reserve interest rate decisions are key focus for institutions and investors. Prediction markets can provide a real-time representation of market expectations. During the 2025 carry trade unwind in the yen, oracle-based prediction markets predicted a 15% depreciation of the yen several weeks in advance, while the stock market was slower to react. Entertainment and Sports: Events like the Oscars, the World Cup, and the Olympics command widespread public attention, naturally attracting a significant number of users outside of entertainment circles to prediction market platforms. For example, in the 2025 prediction market on Kalshi regarding Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce's engagement, a trader bought a contract at $0.37 and ultimately made a profit of $50,000. This garnered widespread media coverage and drove an influx of users from the entertainment industry. 2. Media and Public Opinion Collaboration: Transforming from Data Sources to Authoritative Indicators If the prediction market is to break through its circle, it must become a referenced data source. Polling Alternatives: In the United States, some media outlets have begun using Polymarket prices as a supplement or even a substitute for polling. Unlike traditional polling, which relies on questionnaires, prediction market prices reflect "real money bets," thus providing greater signal value. In 2025, Yale Insights reported an increase in citations of political prediction markets, but warned of caution regarding their accuracy. Real-time Probability Indicators: News reports that cite real-time prediction market data, such as "The market indicates a 72% probability of a September Fed rate hike," will greatly enhance the authority and reach of prediction markets. For example, in 2025, Barron's magazine directly cited Kalshi data as an indicator of event predictions when reporting on March Madness. 3. Deep Integration of the Web3 Ecosystem: Derivative Tools and Social Closed Loops DeFi Integration: Prediction markets can become part of on-chain derivatives, providing users with risk hedging tools. For example, they can hedge against uncertain events like interest rates, policies, and even token listings. In 2025, Polymarket's integration with DeFi platforms enabled users to hedge on-chain in the Bitcoin price prediction market, generating $430 million in trading volume. SocialFi integration: KOLs can initiate prediction contracts, allowing fans to directly participate and creating a revenue-and-traffic cycle. The emerging platform Melee raised $3.5 million in 2025 and launched a "viral prediction market," allowing users to create social prediction events without any barriers to entry. RWA Integration: Prediction markets are inherently similar to derivatives, and in the future, they could potentially be integrated with RWA (real-world asset) derivatives to become alternative on-chain trading tools. Kalshi's attempt to integrate RWA in 2025 helped push its trading volume above Polymarket for three consecutive weeks. Private company tokenization: Tokenizing private companies presents significant challenges, including founder resistance, legal risks, spurious "governance" rights, and insufficient liquidity. Prediction markets can more easily address similar needs. By creating markets on company events (such as the probability of a successful financing), users can indirectly speculate on private assets without the complexities of tokenization. 4. Technical experience upgrade: user-friendliness and lower barriers to entry AMM + NFT: Utilizing automated market making mechanisms and NFT share-based design, it makes "buying into an idea" more intuitive and lowers the barrier to entry. Manifold's NFT-based prediction share attracted new users in 2025, but overall activity still needs to be improved. Lightweight entry: Through Telegram bots and WeChat mini-programs, participation in the prediction market is as simple as "initiating a vote," helping outsiders quickly gain access. Polymarket's mobile optimization is expected to drive 20% user growth by 2025. Analysis of Development Bottlenecks: Regulation, Mobility, and Narrative Every boom is bound to encounter bottlenecks. The challenge for prediction markets isn't whether they have value, but whether they can sustain themselves. Regulation, liquidity, and narrative are three crucial hurdles. 1. Regulatory Gray Area: The Boundary Game Between Gambling and Derivatives Prediction markets exist in a nebulous area between gambling and financial derivatives. In the US, the CFTC's approval of Kalshi set a precedent, but most platforms still operate in a gray area. In September 2025, the CFTC approved Polymarket to re-enter the US market, but Commissioner Kristin Johnson warned of insufficient regulatory safeguards and a lack of market visibility. While Hong Kong, Singapore, and other places offer potential regulatory windows, they currently lack clear policies. Regulatory uncertainty limits the ability of prediction markets to attract institutional users. For example, PrizePicks obtained NFA FCM registration in 2025, launching a compliant prediction market. However, the industry as a whole still faces legal challenges, potentially reaching the Supreme Court. 2. Liquidity Shortcomings: Lack of Fund Pool Size and Network Effect Most prediction markets have a concentrated pool of funding for a few popular events, leaving long-tail markets with a lack of liquidity, leading to price inefficiencies. Without attracting larger capital inflows, prediction markets will struggle to achieve the "network effect" of information aggregation. The 2025 report shows that low liquidity prevents large hedging demands from being met, impacting accuracy. For example, Manifold's long-tail market has fewer than 1,000 active users, making it difficult to support complex forecasts. 3. Narrative Cognitive Bias: The Difficulty of Transforming from “Gambling” to “Information Market” The public's stereotype of prediction markets remains that they are "gambling" rather than "probabilistic information markets." Without the endorsement of authoritative institutions, this narrative will be difficult to quickly reverse. Media reports in 2025 emphasized that despite a surge in trading volume in prediction markets, a lack of regulation has led to a lack of public trust. Future Trend Outlook: Mainstream Integration and Long-term Value Positioning Stablecoins have solved the payment problem, and the next thing that can prove the true value of cryptocurrencies may be prediction markets. It may not be now, but the direction is clear. To achieve true cross-circle dissemination, prediction markets must go beyond the self-circulation of crypto users and be embedded in a broader narrative. Media datafication: Becoming a real-time forecast indicator in reporting Prediction markets need to become a commonplace probabilistic indicator in news coverage, fostering public acceptance of market prices as a proxy for "collective expectations." A 2025 KPMG report shows that prediction markets continue to grow in popularity, with media citations increasing by 30% year-over-year. In the future, data from Polymarket and Kalshi will continue to appear in mainstream news and financial programming. Journalists must reference prediction market probabilities if they want to maintain credibility when covering elections, macroeconomics, or sporting events. Regulatory evolution: Compliance opens the door to institutional funding The CFTC's technical upgrades and feedback mechanisms are expected to be completed by October 2025. Polymarket's return to the US market and Kalshi's victory in the regulatory battle mean that the prediction market will have a clearer path forward in terms of event contract listing, clearing methods, and institutional capital participation. This not only symbolizes "legitimization" but will also become a prerequisite for institutional capital to enter the market. Institutionalization of liquidity: the influx of professional funds and trading teams As regulations become clearer, professional funds will be the first to enter the market. This trend has already begun to emerge, from the launch of a pure prediction market fund with tens of millions of dollars under management to quantitative institutions establishing dedicated prediction market trading departments (not only for market making but also for directional trading). SIG's provision of market making services for Kalshi is a clear precedent. Product Financialization: Derivativeization and Terminalization of Prediction Market The ultimate form of prediction markets is likely to evolve into a new type of derivatives exchange. Experts predict that by 2030, the global prediction market could reach $1 trillion. Simultaneously, prediction market data will gradually integrate with professional terminals like Bloomberg and Refinitiv, offering real-time quotes, historical records, alerts, charts, and native API support for Excel, Python, and news editing systems. At that point, editors and traders will be able to directly process prediction market probability data, just as they do with stock prices, interest rates, and exchange rates. In summary, the true value of prediction markets lies not only in enabling people to place bets but also in giving information a price. Stablecoins have already proven their real-world value as a payment method, and the next area to be verified may be the pricing of information. The current situation of the prediction market is similar to that of the early stablecoin market. Whoever can understand its potential may stand on the next cornerstone of the industry in advance. Note: This article is a CGV research report and does not constitute any investment advice. It is for reference only.

Author: PANews

2025/10/10

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