Prediction-Market

Prediction Markets are decentralized platforms where users trade shares based on the outcome of future events, ranging from elections to sports and crypto prices.By leveraging the "wisdom of the crowd," platforms like Polymarket provide highly accurate, censorship-resistant forecasting data. In 2026, these markets serve as a primary source of sentiment analysis and risk hedging. This tag covers the technology behind decentralized oracles, event-based liquidity, and the growing role of prediction markets in global information discovery.

907 Articles
Created: 2026/02/02 18:52
Updated: 2026/02/02 18:52
BNB News: Changpeng Zhao Teases Launch Of Native BNB Chain Prediction Market

BNB News: Changpeng Zhao Teases Launch Of Native BNB Chain Prediction Market

The post BNB News: Changpeng Zhao Teases Launch Of Native BNB Chain Prediction Market appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Key Insights In a post on X, Changpeng Zhao pointed out the latest BNB News product release, a predictions market platform called predict.fun. The new predictions markets platform will list two active markets, with total volume sitting near $300,000. Predict.fun is leaning on BNB Chain for its massive user base. The chain leads all networks in active wallets, and on-chain analytics show its active addresses have nearly doubled over the past year. In latest BNB news, Binance founder Changpeng “CZ’’ Zhao drew fresh attention this week after sharing a new update on BNB Chain prediction market. He highlighted predict.fun, a platform created by a former Binance staffer that lets users earn yield while their positions stay open. In simple terms, the project gives users a place to make predictions and still collect passive income on funds that would normally sit idle. According to CZ, it marks another step toward making on-chain markets more engaging and efficient. BNB News: CZ Unveils Predict.fun, A Yield-Generating Prediction Market On BNB Chain Binance founder Changpeng Zhao ‘CZ’ turned the spotlight onto a new BNB Chain prediction market this week. In a post on X, he pointed to predict.fun, a project built by a former Binance team member. The platform lets people make predictions while their unused funds quietly earn yield in the background. Source: X CZ said the idea is to create a market where users can place wagers without leaving their money idle. The new approach addresses a long-standing issue in trading: funds often sit idle with no returns while users wait for events to settle. According to industry observers, platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi are tackling this by adding rewards on top of their prediction markets. Staking bonuses, treasury incentives, and points systems now give users a way to earn while they…

Author: BitcoinEthereumNews
Prediction Markets Evolving Into Core Crypto Infrastructure

Prediction Markets Evolving Into Core Crypto Infrastructure

The post Prediction Markets Evolving Into Core Crypto Infrastructure appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. As crypto matures, prediction markets are shifting from niche speculation to foundational prediction markets infrastructure, while simultaneously giving rise to a powerful new category of attention-linked assets. In the first ten months of 2025, global prediction market trading volume reached $27.9 billion, according to Crypto.com Research, marking an explosive 210% growth compared to 2024. However, behind this headline expansion sit five deep structural bottlenecks: the liquidity paradox, market discovery barriers, user expression limits, permissionless creation dilemmas, and oracle settlement challenges. Moreover, the sector stands in stark contrast to the Memecoin ecosystem. On Polymarket, around 85% of traders incur losses, yet their downside is defined and controllable. Meanwhile, the Pump.fun platform generates 10,417 tokens per day, of which 98.6% are identified as manipulative projects with an average lifespan of less than three months. For traders starting with $100, information-based prediction contracts resemble structured wagers, while Memecoin trading remains closer to slot machines driven by luck and timing. Looking ahead, a third major asset class is emerging alongside cash flow assets and supply-demand assets: attention assets. By rebuilding prediction platforms as “attention oracles,” developers aim to support Attention Perpetuals (Attention Perps), giving traders direct financial exposure to cultural attention itself. That said, this evolution also solves the core limitation of traditional user-generated assets (UGAs), which must start from zero and struggle to capture already-established attention around sports stars or political figures. In this transition, specialized platforms such as Limitless—which focuses on Pre-TGE hedging—are starting to plug structural gaps across the crypto market. A spokesperson from HTX Research noted in 2025 that prediction venues could evolve from speculative curiosities into reliable macro signals for institutional decision-making, particularly in markets tied to financial products firms can model and analyze. The $100 capital game: small traders between structure and FOMO In the realm of small-capital…

Author: BitcoinEthereumNews
BNB Chain yields new on-chain prediction market

BNB Chain yields new on-chain prediction market

The post BNB Chain yields new on-chain prediction market appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. A new on-chain betting platform is trying to reshape crypto-native prediction markets, and early attention around predict fun shows how yield could change user behavior. CZ backs new BNB Chain prediction market experiment Binance founder Changpeng “CZ” Zhao this week spotlighted a new prediction venue on BNB Chain, called predict.fun, in a post on X dated Dec 4, 2025. The platform was created by a former Binance employee and lets users keep earning yield on deposited funds while their positions remain open, instead of leaving capital completely idle. In his post, CZ wrote: “Welcome a new prediction market on @BNBChain. When you make a prediction, you funds don’t sit idle, they generate yield.” However, he added a caveat, stressing that the message was “not endorsement” and noting that the founder is an ex-Binance staffer and that the project was incubated and invested in by YZiLabs. Welcome a new prediction market on @BNBChain.When you make a prediction, you funds don’t sit idle, they generate yield. Disclaimer: Founder is ex-Binance (a few years ago).Incubated/invested by YZiLabs.This tweet is not endorsement. 🙏 https://t.co/E0fxxKc3eE — CZ 🔶 BNB (@cz_binance) December 3, 2025 Yield-focused model aims to fix idle capital problem The design of predict.fun targets one of the main inefficiencies in on-chain forecasting. Traders often have to lock capital for weeks or months while they wait for an outcome, during which time those funds typically earn nothing. Moreover, in volatile crypto markets, that opportunity cost can quickly become substantial for active users. Predict.fun addresses this by allowing users to place bets while simultaneously generating passive income on their underlying deposits. That said, the specific yield sources and risk profile will be critical for adoption, as other prediction market yield strategies have sometimes struggled when returns proved unsustainable or too complex for mainstream participants to…

Author: BitcoinEthereumNews
From Structural Constraints to the Future of Attention-Based Financial Infrastructure

From Structural Constraints to the Future of Attention-Based Financial Infrastructure

The post From Structural Constraints to the Future of Attention-Based Financial Infrastructure appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. HTX Research, the dedicated research arm of leading global crypto exchange HTX, has released its latest report, Prediction Markets: From Structural Bottlenecks to Infrastructure Revolution and the Future of Attention Assets, offering a structured analysis of the foundations, development trajectory, and long-term potential of prediction markets. The study discusses why prediction markets continue to confront structural limitations despite rapid growth, and whether they could ultimately become the pricing infrastructure for attention-based assets. Prediction Markets as Emerging Attention Economy: A Clear Contrast with Memecoins Prediction markets have grown rapidly. In the first ten months of 2025, global trading volume reached $27.9 billion, a 210% increase from 2024. Like Memecoins, prediction markets attract a high concentration of small-cap participants. However, the two operate on fundamentally different mechanisms. In prediction markets, participants can distribute small amounts across multiple events, with transparent odds and clear downside. Event structures allow informed users to convert domain knowledge into measurable returns—particularly in lower-liquidity markets where information gaps create opportunities. Memecoin trading follows a different pattern. On Pump.fun, 10,417 tokens are created daily, 98.6% of which are identified as manipulative and typically last less than three months. Prices move primarily on social momentum rather than probability. Information asymmetry heavily favors token creators, leaving ordinary users dependent on hype cycles rather than informed insight. Although prediction markets also spread through social channels, their traction comes from evolving event dynamics, not emotional spikes. For most participants, prediction markets function as information-based competitions, while Memecoins resemble attention-driven lotteries. Rapid Growth with Underlying Structural Fragility Despite rising participation, prediction markets remain structurally fragile. Liquidity on many platforms is still incentive-dependent; some previously spent more than $50,000 per day on market-making subsidies, with depth shrinking once incentives declined. Losing outcomes settling to zero makes it difficult for markets to accumulate lasting depth, and…

Author: BitcoinEthereumNews
How prediction markets are evolving into core crypto infrastructure and powering the rise of attention assets

How prediction markets are evolving into core crypto infrastructure and powering the rise of attention assets

Prediction Markets Are Moving From Speculation To Programmable Infrastructure, Unlocking Attention Assets And Smarter Risk Signaling.

Author: The Cryptonomist
Connecticut hits Kalshi, Robinhood, Crypto.com over sports event contracts

Connecticut hits Kalshi, Robinhood, Crypto.com over sports event contracts

Connecticut orders Kalshi, Robinhood, and Crypto.com to halt sports event contracts, classifying them as illegal online gambling despite firms’ claims of CFTC oversight. Connecticut’s Department of Consumer Protection has issued cease-and-desist orders to Kalshi, Robinhood, and Crypto.com, requiring the companies…

Author: Crypto.news
3 Crypto Narratives Investors Should Watch Ahead of 2026

3 Crypto Narratives Investors Should Watch Ahead of 2026

The post 3 Crypto Narratives Investors Should Watch Ahead of 2026 appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Three fast-emerging narratives are surging in December’s crypto outlook, setting the pace for the rest of the year and potentially a new tone for 2026. Web3 spending has hit record highs, Washington is pivoting to robotics, and prediction markets are roaring back, suggesting potential areas of interest for investors. Sponsored Sponsored A Record Month for Crypto Cards Crypto card payments quietly exploded in November, signaling what may be the strongest confirmation yet that Web3 neobanking is becoming a real consumer trend. According to independent researcher Stacy Muur, crypto card volume hit $406 million in November, the highest on record. Rain led with $240 million, followed by RedotPay at $91 million and ether.fi Cash at $36 million. Growth leaders included Rain (+22%), Ready (formerly Argent) (+58%), and Ether.fi (+9%). Meanwhile, MetaMask fell 30%, signaling a shift in user preferences toward newer, more utility-focused card products. Data dashboards platform paymentscan confirmed the momentum, reporting the first-ever $5 million single-day volume for crypto cards alongside rising user activity. Crypto Cards Daily Volumes. Source: PaymentScan.xyz The surge validates a growing market theme that Web3 neobanking is gaining real traction. It aligns with a recent BeInCrypto report, which showed low-cap neobank tokens, including AVICI, CYPR, and MACHINES, are drawing analyst attention for their blend of real-world spending, self-custody, and yield-bearing crypto accounts. Sponsored Sponsored These early-stage altcoins may be undervalued in relation to their usage growth across the sector. Robotics x Crypto: Washington Lights a Fuse A second narrative accelerated this week as the Trump administration shifted its technology focus from AI to robotics. Politico reported that Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick is “all in” on expanding the US robotics sector, following high-level meetings with robotics CEOs. TRUMP ADMINISTRATION SHIFTS FOCUS TO ROBOTICS Politico reports that after its AI push, the Trump administration is now turning…

Author: BitcoinEthereumNews
Connecticut Issues Cease and Desists to Major Prediction Platforms

Connecticut Issues Cease and Desists to Major Prediction Platforms

The post Connecticut Issues Cease and Desists to Major Prediction Platforms appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Kalshi immediately pushed back by arguing that its markets fall under exclusive CFTC oversight. The crackdown now adds to a growing wave of state-level legal actions across the country. At the same time, Fanatics is pushing forward with a major entry into the prediction market space through a new Crypto.com-powered platform, Fanatics Markets. Despite the rising regulatory pressure, investor interest and corporate expansion suggest the prediction market sector is accelerating rather than slowing down. Connecticut Slams Prediction Markets Connecticut escalated its crackdown on prediction markets by issuing cease-and-desist orders to Robinhood, Kalshi and Crypto.com, accusing all three platforms of facilitating unlicensed sports betting through their event-contract offerings. The state’s Department of Consumer Protection (DCP) said on Wednesday that the companies were effectively conducting online gambling without authorization and offering wagers that violate several state laws, including the prohibition on betting by individuals under 21. DCP Commissioner Bryan Cafferelli said none of the targeted platforms hold the required sports wagering license in Connecticut and argued that their event-contract markets go far beyond what state law permits. Regulators also criticized the firms for allegedly presenting their services as legal when they are not.  DCP Gaming Director Kris Gilman said the platforms operate outside the state’s regulatory safeguards, which exposes users to risks ranging from loss of funds to the misuse of personal data. According to the agency, unlicensed prediction markets also lack proper integrity controls, opening the door to insider betting, manipulation, and wagers on events where outcomes may already be known. Kalshi pushed back immediately by arguing that Connecticut has no authority to regulate its markets at all. A spokesperson said that Kalshi is a federally regulated exchange that is supervised exclusively by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission, placing it under federal rather than state jurisdiction. In a lawsuit that was…

Author: BitcoinEthereumNews
MyPrize brings NBA star James Harden on board as its first Premier Creator

MyPrize brings NBA star James Harden on board as its first Premier Creator

Latest News and Updates on blockchain industry by AlexaBlockchain ("Alexa Blockchain"). NBA star James Harden becomes MyPrize’s first Premier Creator, introducing interactive multiplayer gaming, livestreaming, and prediction markets to fans. The post MyPrize brings NBA star James Harden on board as its first Premier Creator appeared first on AlexaBlockchain.

Author: AlexaBlockchain
New front runner for Fed chair is pro-crypto – violent dollar collapse needed for Bitcoin to rally

New front runner for Fed chair is pro-crypto – violent dollar collapse needed for Bitcoin to rally

Bitcoin’s recent rebound came as traders raised the probability of a December Federal Reserve rate cut, the dollar eased, and attention turned to who will lead the central bank after Jerome Powell’s term ends in 2026. Futures markets moved the odds of a 25-basis-point cut this month into the mid-to-high 80% range, a shift that […] The post New front runner for Fed chair is pro-crypto – violent dollar collapse needed for Bitcoin to rally appeared first on CryptoSlate.

Author: CryptoSlate