Prediction-Market

Prediction Markets are decentralized platforms where users trade shares based on the outcome of future events, ranging from elections to sports and crypto prices.By leveraging the "wisdom of the crowd," platforms like Polymarket provide highly accurate, censorship-resistant forecasting data. In 2026, these markets serve as a primary source of sentiment analysis and risk hedging. This tag covers the technology behind decentralized oracles, event-based liquidity, and the growing role of prediction markets in global information discovery.

896 Articles
Created: 2026/02/02 18:52
Updated: 2026/02/02 18:52
Coinbase app code appears to include early prediction market and stock-trading modules

Coinbase app code appears to include early prediction market and stock-trading modules

The timing of the interfaces aligns with Coinbase’s Dec. 17 event, where the exchange says it will unveil new products and business updates.

Author: The Block
Coinbase builds prediction-market platform with Kalshi, leaked images show

Coinbase builds prediction-market platform with Kalshi, leaked images show

Coinbase is building a prediction market platform with Kalshi, offering markets in politics, sports, economics, and technology.

Author: Cryptopolitan
Landscape of Prediction Markets: Centralization vs. Permissionless Protocols

Landscape of Prediction Markets: Centralization vs. Permissionless Protocols

The post Landscape of Prediction Markets: Centralization vs. Permissionless Protocols appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Prediction markets, once niche experiments, have evolved into significant financial instruments. These platforms, where participants trade on the outcomes of future events, have attracted significant attention due to their demonstrated ability to be more accurate than traditional polls and commentators, particularly concerning critical political and economic results. Their rise is further fueled by the desire for individuals to leverage their knowledge for profit and a broader cultural obsession with real-time data and future outcomes, leading to hundreds of millions, and sometimes billions, of dollars flowing through these markets weekly. The industry’s success has validated a multi-billion dollar demand. The current environment is primarily shaped by a duopoly, Kalshi and Polymarket. These two platforms, while seemingly in direct competition, represent two different approaches to the same market. Kalshi is positioned as a regulated exchange, while Polymarket is the leading decentralized, crypto-native marketplace. A new contender, Rain, has recently emerged, built with a distinctly different, permissionless architecture aimed at addressing the structural limitations of the incumbents. This comparison examines these three notable platforms, Kalshi, Polymarket, and Rain, focusing on four core areas: scalability and liquidity, outcome resolution and trust, user experience and accessibility, and the fundamental tension between decentralization and centralization. The Central Constraint: Market Creation Liquidity While the prediction market industry often focuses on metrics like trading volume and active users, the true barrier to massive growth is a structural bottleneck known as “Market-Creation Liquidity”. This refers to the speed, cost, and accessibility for any user to create a new, tradable market. The current dominant models Kalshi and Polymarket operate under a “publisher” model, acting as gatekeepers, which limits their ability to fully scale. Kalshi: The Regulatory Bottleneck Kalshi’s market position is defined by its compliance-first approach. As a centralized, US-based platform, it is fully regulated by the CFTC as a…

Author: BitcoinEthereumNews
Coinbase Builds Early Prototype of Prediction Market Feature

Coinbase Builds Early Prototype of Prediction Market Feature

The post Coinbase Builds Early Prototype of Prediction Market Feature appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Key Takeaways: Coinbase appears to be testing a lightweight prediction market module. Early screenshots show event cards, outcome buttons, and timing details. The feature fits the company’s steady move toward more on-chain tools. A small interface leak this week revealed that Coinbase is experimenting with a prediction market feature. The company hasn’t addressed it publicly, but the preview spread quickly across crypto channels. Early Signs of a New Market Tool Researcher Jane Manchun Wong posted images that showed a simple layout with a few sample events and two choices for each one. It looked like the kind of early build that teams often test internally before making broader announcements. The screenshots didn’t come with context or explanation, but they made it clear that Coinbase is working on a system where users trade on event outcomes. The design did not follow the heavy, derivative-style look some platforms use. It had a more stripped-down feel — one event per tile, a short description underneath, and a deadline showing when trading closes. The whole thing came across like a test environment where the team was experimenting with how much information to show without overwhelming the user. What stood out most was the straightforward voting-style structure. No charts, no leverage sliders, no complex instructions. Just two buttons. That simplicity is common among newer on-chain prediction tools because most traders prefer a clear setup when the outcome is tied to real-world data. How This Category Fits Into the On-Chain Shift Prediction markets used to be a fringe idea in crypto, mostly because interfaces were clunky and settlement rules were messy. Recently the space gained traction thanks to platforms that proved people actually want a place to express opinions on specific events — from economic releases to token-related milestones. Coinbase’s interest doesn’t come out of nowhere.…

Author: BitcoinEthereumNews
Coinbase Prediction Markets Expand Via Kalshi Platform

Coinbase Prediction Markets Expand Via Kalshi Platform

The post Coinbase Prediction Markets Expand Via Kalshi Platform appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. A new Coinbase prediction markets initiative appears to be taking shape, with leaked images revealing a Kalshi-powered platform for event-based trading across multiple sectors. What do the leaked Coinbase screenshots reveal? On Tuesday, tech researcher Jane Manchun Wong shared leaked screenshots suggesting that Coinbase is preparing a dedicated prediction markets website. The interface displays Coinbase branding and structured market pages, together with an FAQ section and onboarding guides tailored for new users. The service appears to be built on Kalshi, the federally regulated prediction market approved by the US Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC). One screenshot states that the product is offered by Coinbase Financial Markets, the exchange’s derivatives arm, “through Kalshi,” underscoring that it would rely on Kalshi’s regulated infrastructure for compliance. Moreover, the images show a standard event-trading layout that seems to support USDC or USD positions. The menu lists categories such as economics, sports, science, politics, and technology, with wording that hints new markets would be added on a frequent basis. How does this fit into the Coinbase Kalshi partnership? Coinbase has signaled interest in event-driven trading for some time. In July, the company told CNBC that it intended to add prediction functionality as part of an overarching strategy to evolve into an “everything exchange” spanning spot, derivatives, and novel financial products. That direction became more explicit on Nov. 13, when Coinbase and Kalshi publicly unveiled a collaboration allowing the exchange to serve as custodian for Kalshi’s USDC-based event contracts. This agreement, detailed in Kalshi’s own market documentation, positioned Coinbase as a key infrastructure partner for regulated event trading. Further details on Kalshi’s CFTC status can be found in the commission’s designated contract market order. However, the newly leaked screenshots point to a deeper integration, with Coinbase not just acting as custodian but apparently fronting its own…

Author: BitcoinEthereumNews
Coinbase Joins The Fray, Reportedly Working On Polymarket Competitor

Coinbase Joins The Fray, Reportedly Working On Polymarket Competitor

Coinbase to launch a regulated prediction markets platform with Kalshi, and is giving users event-based trading across several sectors.   Coinbase is expanding again. The company is developing a prediction markets platform that will offer event-based trading across several sectors.  Leaked images shared by tech researcher Jane Manchun Wong show the upcoming service and indicate […] The post Coinbase Joins The Fray, Reportedly Working On Polymarket Competitor appeared first on Live Bitcoin News.

Author: LiveBitcoinNews
Coinbase Working on Prediction Markets Website

Coinbase Working on Prediction Markets Website

The post Coinbase Working on Prediction Markets Website appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Key Notes Jane Manchun Wong has caught sight of a potential prediction markets website that Coinbase is working on. The prediction markets will be offered by Coinbase Financial Markets, the derivatives arm of Coinbase Global, through the prediction marketplace Kalshi. Coinbase had once hinted at launching a prediction market in a bid to be an “everything exchange”. A tech researcher named Jane Manchun Wong has hinted at the possibility that American cryptocurrency exchange Coinbase is working on a prediction markets website. She shared some screenshots on X to back up this claim. The images also showed that the project will be backed by the prediction market company Kalshi. Is Coinbase Finally Turning to an Everything Exchange? Jane Manchun Wong, a tech researcher, shared multiple screenshots on X, noting that Coinbase is working on a prediction markets website. Based on one of the screenshots, the supposed prediction markets website will be backed by Kalshi, which recently secured $300 million in a series D fundraiser. Source: https://x.com/wongmjane For more context, the new platform will be offered by Coinbase Financial Markets, the derivatives arm of Coinbase Global Inc., through the prediction market Kalshi. Another image showed a typical prediction market interface with Coinbase’s logo. There was also an FAQ section as well as a branded guide that explained the offering. Though no official comments have been released to substantiate the researcher’s claim, it is worth noting that Coinbase had once told CNBC of its plan to launch a prediction market. In July, the Brian Armstrong-led crypto exchange talked about becoming an “everything exchange,” and this included rolling out a prediction market. Back in 2024, Coinbase was one of those firms that challenged prediction market rules from the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC). To this end, it wrote in a letter signed by its…

Author: BitcoinEthereumNews
Coinbase May Launch USDC-Backed Prediction Markets Platform via Kalshi Partnership

Coinbase May Launch USDC-Backed Prediction Markets Platform via Kalshi Partnership

The post Coinbase May Launch USDC-Backed Prediction Markets Platform via Kalshi Partnership appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Coinbase is developing a prediction markets platform backed by Kalshi, allowing users to bet on events in economics, sports, science, politics, and technology using USDC or US dollars. This initiative expands Coinbase’s offerings as part of its vision for an all-in-one exchange, with new markets added regularly. Coinbase Financial Markets partners with Kalshi for the […] Source: https://en.coinotag.com/coinbase-may-launch-usdc-backed-prediction-markets-platform-via-kalshi-partnership

Author: BitcoinEthereumNews
Coinbase And Kalshi Forge Game-Changing Partnership

Coinbase And Kalshi Forge Game-Changing Partnership

The post Coinbase And Kalshi Forge Game-Changing Partnership appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. In a groundbreaking move that could reshape how we approach market forecasting, Coinbase has announced a strategic partnership with prediction market leader Kalshi to develop an innovative prediction market platform. This collaboration represents a significant step forward in merging traditional financial markets with blockchain technology’s transformative potential. What Makes This Prediction Market Platform Different? The new prediction market platform aims to leverage Coinbase’s massive user base and regulatory compliance expertise with Kalshi’s proven prediction market technology. This powerful combination creates a unique opportunity for users to engage in market forecasting while benefiting from blockchain’s transparency and security features. Prediction markets allow participants to trade contracts based on the outcome of future events. However, this new prediction market platform brings several key advantages: Enhanced security through blockchain verification Greater accessibility for retail investors Improved market efficiency and price discovery Real-time settlement capabilities Why Should Crypto Investors Care About This Development? This partnership signals Coinbase’s continued expansion beyond traditional cryptocurrency trading. The new prediction market platform represents a strategic move into decentralized finance applications that could attract new users to the crypto ecosystem. Moreover, prediction markets have demonstrated remarkable accuracy in forecasting real-world events. By integrating these capabilities with blockchain technology, the platform could become an invaluable tool for: Market sentiment analysis Risk management strategies Event-driven investment decisions Portfolio diversification What Challenges Might This Prediction Market Platform Face? While the potential is enormous, regulatory hurdles remain a significant consideration. Prediction markets have faced scrutiny from financial regulators worldwide. However, Coinbase’s established compliance framework and Kalshi’s existing regulatory approvals provide a solid foundation for navigating these challenges. The success of this prediction market platform will depend on several factors: Regulatory approval across key jurisdictions User adoption and market liquidity Technical scalability and security Market education and awareness How Will This Prediction Market Platform…

Author: BitcoinEthereumNews
Coinbase prediction markets move ahead with Kalshi-powered platform

Coinbase prediction markets move ahead with Kalshi-powered platform

A new Coinbase prediction markets initiative appears to be taking shape, with leaked images revealing a Kalshi-powered platform for event-based trading across multiple sectors. What do the leaked Coinbase screenshots reveal? On Tuesday, tech researcher Jane Manchun Wong shared leaked screenshots suggesting that Coinbase is preparing a dedicated prediction markets website. The interface displays Coinbase […]

Author: The Cryptonomist